Sunday, March 21, 2010

Noncompliance

At the briefing, the CDC reported that 155 million doses of H1N1 vaccine had been shipped for distribution throughout the U.S. and about 70 million doses had been administered


So around 23% of the population in the US decided to participate in the H1N1 vaccination program. The government purchased around 200 million doses, shipped 155 million and the vast majority of people despite the unprecedented media bombardment decided to say "no thanks".

If that doesn't make you proud of people, then I got nothing for ya :)

That's awesome. The best marketing and scaremongering the medical industrial complex could muster resulted in a big whopping 23% compliance with the untested vaccine.

Bravo Americans.

This is a perfect example of the loss of legitimacy suffered by the health care system. People aren't even "buying" the "free" vaccine.

Someone ask the CDC if we can get a refund for those 130 million doses they purchased but didn't use. We could use the cash to bail out california :)


Saturday, March 20, 2010

Prevnar and such as




Let’s look critically at what is known about Prevnar starting with the 2 prelicensure trials. Here is the main one http://tinyurl.com/ybnc3xp
Look at the study design first of all. What are they measuring and does it make sense clinically? The primary outcome is IPD caused by the serotypes in the vaccine. Secondary outcomes include all cause IPD, but wouldn’t it more relevant to include all invasive bacterial diseases? Would it be a success if we replaced IPD with other pneumonias, ear infections, bacteremia etc? Notice how after 3 years and 17 cases of IPD the randomization period was stopped by design and then less than a year later there were 56 cases to review.
There are other concerns with the study design. Since pneumococcus is normal flora in children, addressing long term effects of altering the normal flora is critical. Again, are there other bacteria replacing the infections prevented from these few serotypes of pneumococcus? What about the remaining 80 something serotypes of pneumococcus? Are we getting more or less virulent bacteria in the normal flora because of prevnar? What about the antibiotic resistance of these replacement serotypes? The initial 2 studies didn’t look at this but post after mass vaccination, we do have some studies looking into what happened.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17456820
Initially we have this:
(from 403.2 per 100,000 in 1995-2000 to 134.3 per 100,000 per year in 2001-2003, P<.001)


Then after the initial dramatic decrease in IPD, the replacement serotypes fill the partial void:
"However, between 2001-2003 and 2004-2006, there was an 82% increase in invasive disease in Alaska Native children younger than 2 years to 244.6/100,000 (P = .02). Since 2004, the invasive pneumococcal disease rate caused by nonvaccine serotypes has increased 140% compared with the prevaccine period (from 95.1 per 100,000 in 1995-2000 to 228.6 in 2004-2006, P = .001)"
What other bacteria are replacing the vaccine specific serotypes?
JAMA 2004 Aug 11;292(6):716-20
"CONCLUSIONS: Streptococcus pneumoniae carriage, specifically of vaccine-type strains, is negatively associated with S aureus carriage in children. The implications of these findings in the pneumococcal vaccine era require further investigation"
Lancet 2004 Jun 5;363(9424):1871-2
"These findings suggest a natural competition between colonisation with vaccine-type pneumococci and S aureus, which might explain the increase in S aureus-related otitis media after vaccination."
Anyone in clinical practice recall an explosion of MRSA in children since 2000? It's no fun holding down a 3 month old to drain an abscess.
There seems to be an accepted causal relationship between prevnar's eradication of its 7 serotypes and the emergence of serotype 19A as the dominant pathogen of IPD. Serotype 19A which is responsible for multidrug resistant IPD. Meaning children requiring quinolones to clear their ear infections.
The fact is, we don't know what effects Prevnar 13 will have any more than we knew what Prevnar 7 would do. If you want to look at the studies of clinical efficacy on Prevnar 13, we can; but it's rather disturbing seeing how the bulk of the research was done outside of the US and often on those living in extreme poverty. The new vaccine has been tested on populations which aren't intended to get the vaccine after licensure.
The mechanism for pneumococcus evading the antibodies from prevnar 7 , capsid switching, is a well accepted characteristic of the bacteria. Prevnar 13 will simply add another 6 antibodies and we have no reason to believe that this slightly enhanced selective pressure will give us anything other than a more robust version of 19A.
Prevnar has been the most lucrative pharmaceutical for Wyeth some of the years between 2000 and now. What benefit did we receive? Prevnar wasn't able to get an indication for preventing meningitis (bacterial meningitis in infants practically vanished in the years prior to prevnar's release). Maybe prevnar decreases IPD including pneumonia in older children and adults, but again all cause pneumonia and invasive bacterial infections would be a proper comparison AND the mothers who consented to have their infants vaccinated with prevnar weren't consenting to protect older children and adults.
Any benefit on ear infections would have to be looked at in the context of all cause ear infections and longitudinal serotype replacement phenomenon. Also the ear infection outcome has to be looked at in the context of more recent recommendations to allow the majority of clinical otitis presentations to resolve without antibiotic therapy.
Look at how they compared prevnar 13 to prevnar 7 in the US trials and only looked at immunology not any clinical outcome.
Pretend Prevnar is a pill for a minute, a pill like Zetia. If it were a pill to be given to 2 month olds and the long term impact were uncertain would you recommend it to every 2 month old in the nation and "hey we'll figure out what went right and what went wrong a decade later"…..
Any preventive test or intervention is capable of doing more harm than good. We must be extremely careful mucking with the normal flora of children. The bright minds reading the articles on this site are capable of critical thinking. Now ask yourselves who has more to gain financially by manipulating people, the makers of homeopathic snake oil or Wyeth.
"Prevnar sales surged 24% in 2007 to $2.4 billion, making it the first vaccine to exceed $2 billion in annual sales."

Friday, March 19, 2010

FYI

So tomorrow, saturday march 20th, this friend of mine who happens to be a PA student is going to give a lecture to whoever randomly shows up at the North Town Coffee shop downstairs at 1 in the afternoon. The talk is on Gardasil

http://www.yelp.com/biz/northtown-coffeehouse-yakima

Like the risks and benefits and what the clinical trials show. Stuff that would be important parts of being properly consented before taking the vaccine.

It's free and I'll be there chiming in randomly and possibly talking too much and ruining his required public service gig.

He put up a couple fliers today and he doesn't think anyone will show up. So help me put my friend on the spot, ask a bunch of angry questions. To him, not me.

Thank you

Prevnar 13

http://www.fiercevaccines.com/story/prevnar-13-pfizers-next-lipitor/2010-02-24

The L.A. Times notes that Prevnar was the world's top-selling vaccine in 2008 with sales of $2.7 billion and was considered a key product in Pfizer's decision to purchase its rival Wyeth. And Matthew Herper of Forbes' health blog predicts that the vaccine could be Pfizer's top seller after Lipitor loses patent protection.

Pfizer expects to start selling Prevnar 13 in the U.S. during the first quarter. Already approved for infants and young children in 38 other countries, Prevnar 13 is also being studied in global Phase III clinical trials in adults, with regulatory submissions expected later in the year, according to a Pfizer statement. Earlier this year, the company said that Prevnar 13 sales in adults older than 50 could account for $1.5 billion in sales.

Pfizer's stock jumped 1.5 percent to $17.94 yesterday following the approval, according the Financial Times.




It's Prevnar day

http://www.vaccinetruth.org/mark_livingston.htm

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for being here tonight. I believe we are here to recognize not only Dr. Graham and myself, but all individuals who summon the faith and courage to challenge unethical
and unlawful practices. I want to share with you the story regarding my attempt to change the dysfunctional regulatory compliance culture of a pharmaceutical manufacturing plant in the years 2000-2002.

- I was hired in 2000 by Wyeth Pharmaceuticals to help in the introduction of Prevnar, a new vaccine designed to fight pneumoccocal pneumonia and meningitis in babies. The North Carolina facility where I worked is the sole production site for this pediatric vaccine which is taken in a four-dose regimen by every infant in the United States at 2, 4, 6, and 12 months. One of my key responsibilities was to assure compliant manufacturing through quality training and continuous improvement systems.

Prevnar

Pneumococcal Vaccine and Otitis Media

by Dr. Erdem Cantekin

Transcibed by and made available by Families for Natural Living

Dr. Erdem Cantekin, Ph.D., is Professor of Otolaryngology, University of Pittsburgh. An internationally recognized authority on otitis media and has studied causes and treatments for ear infection and sinusitis in his 25 year career. An early, outspoken critic of the overuse of antibiotics to treat ear infections, Dr. Cantekin has published more than 150 articles and abstracts in the medical literature on eustachian tube function, ear tube surgery, antibiotic resistance and conflicts of interest in biomedical research and manufacturer sponsored medicine.

Cantekin discussed the new Prevnar vaccine for pneumococcal, as endorsed by the American Academy of Pediatrics. "The alleged benefits for this new vaccine are greatly exaggerated and the risks are significant," said Cantekin. "The bacteria pneumococcus, with more than 90 serotypes, is a common pathogen. Though pneumococcus causes various diseases the carriage rate and serotype distribution rates in different groups are not know. Also, it is not known how pneumococcus transmutes itself into a pathogen. The role of pneumococcus in the microbiological balance is not known. It does contribute to 3,000 cases a year of meningitis, 50,000 a year of bacteremia, 500,000 cases of pneumonia, and seven million cases of otitis media or ear infections."

"With all of these unknowns, the vaccination of newborns with seven pneumococcal serotypes and possible eradication of those serotypes, is an uninformed experiment at best," said Cantekin.

"Unfortunately, our public health officials have no good estimates of these carriage rates in common populations. The rates of healthy newborns contracting these diseases are not well documented and yet to be determined.

Yet in February 2000 Prevnar, a seven-valent, conjugate vaccine was approved for infants and toddlers. The FDA did not approve pneumococcal for pneumonia or otitis media. This approval was limited and paradoxical because three years earlier the New England Journal of Medicine the scientists had concluded that 'bacterial meningitis in the US is now a disease predominately of adults rather than infants and young children.'"

Cantekin pointed out that the study on Prevnar violated rules of internationally accepted methods of reporting clinical trials by publishing the results when they were incomplete. For example, regarding pneumonia there was no information at all. All the results were presented in a "confusing nonstandard format." Also, the control group for the study did not receive a placebo, but another meningitis vaccine.

Other questions remained unanswered: "If this HMO trial was going to be the only foundation to vaccinate every newborn in the United States, why were those findings, involving 38,000 captive HMO children, not published in a leading medical journal? The results were instead published in a journal well known to be the mouthpiece of drug manufacturers. It is also troubling that, prior to the publication of primary results, the medical economic analysis was rushed to publication in the Journal of the American Medical Association. Then a string of publications appeared in print - this was a well-organized effort to capture the newborn population as quickly as possible. Prevnar is not effective for otitis media or pneumonia and the prevention of meningitis data are inconclusive. Why does the American Academy of Pediatrics want our children to be immunized using Prevnar? Why are all those experts excited about this new vaccine? I'm afraid the answer does not lie in the scientific realm. Endorsements by experts become more puzzling if we examine the adverse or peculiar effects of the vaccine in the HMO trial. As shown here, Prevnar had four times more seizures, four times more gastritis than the control group, significantly more developed asthma, one death in the Prevnar group. Strangely, there were twice as many SIDS in the control group, but remember the control group was receiving another experimental vaccine.

"The big push for Prevnar came from its supposed prevention of otitis media, even though it had not been approved for this use. The promise of saving children from this common, self-limiting disease now turned into persistent childhood pest, is an excellent strategy, for marketing. Every parent knows and abhors otitis media.

"Simple facts about otitis media is that 60 percent of the cases are viral, less than 40 percent are bacterial, and perhaps 25 percent of all otitis media is due to pneumococcus. In two days, 90 percent of the otitis cases resolve by itself without treatment. Regardless of these facts our experts for two decades have been recommending aggressive interventions, such as long duration antibiotic therapy and designer drugs, antibiotic prophylaxis and then followed by aggressive surgery. This clinical practice, not supported by existing scientific based evidence, fuels our $5 billion a year otitis media medical economics. So if Prevnar could stop the cycle of drug and slash, it would have been a great public benefit. But that is not the case.

The FDA data both from Finland and the HMO trial show that the prevention benefit is less than four percent. Despite this, the economic spin goes on." When the JAMA rushed to publish the economic analysis deployment of Prevnar in the US prior to the publication of the HMO trial results, Cantekin wrote a letter to the editor. In this letter he pointed out that all of the money the vaccine was supposed to save health care consumers would be saved without the vaccine if health care providers would stick to the clinical guidelines for the treatment of otitis media. His letter to the editor was rejected.

"Prevnar will have the same effect that antibiotic abuse currently has because, by changing serotype, it will exert selective pressure on the microbial ecology. This vaccine is the perfect example of a profit driven health care with no checks and balances. In our $1 trillion health care system the public health for people's interest are supposedly in the hands of three government agencies: the FDA, the CDC, and the NIH. These three pillars of our public health system are more and more in the hand of expert panels and advisory committees with ad hoc appointed outsiders. Such experts dictate policies, control the complex biomedical information system, and directly influence the taxpayers' health and wealth. Those experts are frequently in the state of conflict of interest because they also serve those special interest groups who profit from their expert decisions. Most experts are in financial relationships with these special interest groups and are usually registered with the speaker offices of various manufacturers. In other words, they are paid lobbyist. The perils of such interlocking conflicts are dangerous to public health. With increasing frequency we witness the media exposures of these white coat crimes. I think it is time that a reform act was in order and the people demand better controls from the government to protect their health and their pocket books."

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Harvest

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_in_the_United_States


Availability

Sunlight is by far the world's largest energy resource. A 1993 report by the DOE found that available domestic resources from solar represented 586,687 Quadrillion BTUs (Quads), out of a total of 667,597 Quads, with coal representing the second largest resource, a distant 38,147 Quads.[2] By comparison, the total annual energy consumption of the United States in 2007 was approximately 100 Quads,[3] less than 0.5% of that available from sunlight.